Evaluating probability forecasts in terms of refinement and strictly proper scoring rules
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منابع مشابه
Evaluating probability forecasts in terms of refinement and strictly proper scoring rules
This note gives an easily verified necessary and sufficient condition for one probability forecaster to empirically outperform another one in terms of all strictly proper scoring rules.
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Forecasting
سال: 2006
ISSN: 0277-6693,1099-131X
DOI: 10.1002/for.976